10 of 47 states with a registration file have more registrations than the Census counts adult citizens

Each state is colored by its registrations as a share of the Census count of adult citizens, using the state’s own registration count. Hatched states have no registration file loaded yet.

Each arrow leans left and blue where a state moved toward Democrats between the 2024 presidential vote and its 2026 race, right and red where it moved toward Republicans. Longer arrows mean bigger moves. Each state page names its race and draws the same arrows county by county.

The registration counts and the 2026 results on these pages come from files each state’s election office posted, on its own site or the results site it links to. So far that gives registration files for 47 of 50 states and 2026 county results for 39. Here is what each covers, and for each state still to come, the reason.

Registration files

Loaded for 47 states. Each is the newest file the state had posted when it was fetched, so the dates differ. By the date on the file:

• November 2026 · 31: Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Louisiana, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, Wyoming
• October 2026 · 9: California, Connecticut, Florida, Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Mississippi, New Mexico, West Virginia
• Earlier · 4: Vermont (August 2026), South Dakota (July 2026), Tennessee (June 2026), Maine (March 2026)
• No date on the file · 3, each with its own label:
  • Alabama: Sheet “October” of the state registration workbook (no date printed)
  • Indiana: 2026 primary election file (primary held 5/5/2026); file prints no date
  • Michigan: fetched 11/11/2026 02:36 UTC (page undated: 'Data is not real-time and updates once a day')

The other 3 states:

• No voter registration · 1 state.

  • North Dakota has no voter registration, so it has no rolls to set against the Census count. Source

• No current file posted · 2 states.

  • Massachusetts’s registration statistics page has no 2026 counts yet; its newest are from 2025. Source
  • Missouri: The newest county registration file on the Secretary of State’s site is from 2022. Source

County results

Loaded for 39 states, each for the race its page names, as the state’s file labels them:

• Unofficial · 38: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia
• Certified · 1: Wyoming

The other 11 states:

• No file of the general election results posted yet · 9 states.

  • Connecticut’s certified results database holds no rows yet for the November 3 general election. Source
  • Florida’s results site does not list the 2026 general election yet. Source Next: November 16, county returns.
  • Illinois’s State Board of Elections posts county vote totals after its canvass; until then, each county’s election authority posts its own. Next: December 4, the State Board of Elections’ proclamation.
  • Maine’s Election Results page has no November results yet. Source Next: November 23, official results.
  • Massachusetts’s results database has not added the November 3 general election yet. Source
  • Mississippi’s Secretary of State site lists no 2026 general results yet. Source Next: November 13, county returns to the Secretary of State.
  • New Jersey’s results archive does not list this year’s general election yet. Next: November 18, county boards of canvassers meet.
  • New York’s election-night results site has no download this build could find, and its unofficial counts leave out a significant number of unscanned emergency ballots from Westchester. Source
  • Wisconsin’s Elections Commission results page has no November results yet. Source

• Results that do not make a two-party map by county · 2 states.

  • Missouri’s unofficial results report Kansas City as its own jurisdiction, apart from the counties it lies in, so the county map waits for results that assign its votes to counties. Source
  • Montana: in its US Senate race, candidates other than the Democrat and the Republican together drew 193,577 votes, more than the Democrat’s 59,960, so there is no two-party race by county to draw.

US House, and what comes next

US House district results are loaded for 41 states, and the US House tile above sums their district votes: Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Delaware, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wyoming.

The state pages list 43 dates still ahead, from November 12 to December 11, for canvasses, certifications and new files. The pages are rebuilt as the files come in.

The District of Columbia is drawn on the maps without a page.

Click a column heading to sort. Each state’s page has its county map, its county entries and its files.

Registrations are each state’s own count, under the state’s own label; where a state splits active and inactive voters, the map uses the total, as the viral maps do, and the state page shows both. Adult citizens are the Census Bureau’s citizen voting-age population from its special tabulation of the American Community Survey for 2020 to 2024. A state’s ratio is the sum of its counties’ registrations over the sum of their adult citizens.

The swing is the Democratic share of the two-party vote in each state’s 2026 race, minus the share in the 2024 presidential race, in percentage points. The race is the US Senate where the Democrat and the Republican each drew more votes than all other candidates together; otherwise the governor’s race; otherwise the US House. The House tile adds the Democratic and Republican House votes in the states whose 2026 district results are loaded, beside the same states’ official 2022 totals from the Federal Election Commission.

These pages describe the numbers. They are kept apart from the tests we registered in advance for our own analysis of the 2026 returns. Unofficial results move during the canvass, and the pages are rebuilt as states certify.